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36 джерел у канонічній базі.
У фінансовому секторі після 2014 року був атакований один із найважливіших старих каналів — пов’язане кредитування. Діагностика НБУ виявила, що 44 із 99 перевірених банків перевищували норматив експозиції до пов’язаних осіб; НБУ характеризу
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/natsionalniy-bank-zavershiv-protseduru-diagnostichnogo-obstejennya-bankivskih-operatsiy-z-povyazanimi-osobami?utm_source=chatgpt.comuc-s-0033-dr-02-19belongs mainly to financial-stock/exposure ledger. [\[28\]]( )
https://bank.gov.ua/admin_uploads/article/FSR_2019-H2_eng.pdf?v=4uc-s-0053-dr-02-39high
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/natsionalniy-bank-pogodiv-16-bankam-plani-zahodiv-schodo-aktivnih-operatsiy-iz-povyazanimi-osobami?utm_source=chatgpt.comuc-s-0092-dr-04-02The strongest defensible **core GDP spine presently available from official Ukrainian sources** is the State Statistics Service national-accounts series distributed through Ukrstat and the NBU: an SNA-1993 block for 1996–2000 and an SNA-200
https://bank.gov.ua/en/statistic/macro-indicatorsuc-s-0095-dr-04-05The external account is one of the clearest demonstrations of regime change. NBU BPM6 data record the current account at \+$4.25 billion in 2020, −$5.46 billion in 2021, **\+$6.20 billion in 2022**, −$10.78 billion in 2023, −$16.90 billion
https://bank.gov.ua/en/statistic/sector-externaluc-s-0096-dr-04-06Post-2022 macroeconomic stability is therefore **inseparable from extraordinary official external financing**. The IMF’s July 2026 review explicitly attributes preserved macro stability to prudent policies together with substantial donor su
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/inflyatsiya-prishvidshitsya-u-drugomu-pivrichchi-ale-povernetsya-do-znijennya-nastupnogo-roku--inflyatsiyniy-zvituc-s-0107-dr-04-17NBU’s official history states that the 1996 monetary reform exchanged karbovantsi for hryvnia at 100,000:1 during September 2–16, after which the hryvnia became the sole legal tender. [\[27\]]( )
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/svyatkuyemo-26-y-den-narodjennya-grivniuc-s-0108-dr-04-18As of August 10, 2026, the NBU official daily reference was approximately **UAH 44.7579 per USD**; this is an end/current-day rate, not the annual-average conversion factor for 2026 GDP. [\[28\]]( )
https://bank.gov.ua/en/markets/exchangeratesuc-s-0109-dr-04-19FDI \!= GFCF. FDI is a financing/ownership relationship in the international accounts; it can finance acquisition of existing assets, intercompany debt, retained earnings or greenfield fixed capital. NBU research also identifies substantial
https://bank.gov.ua/admin_uploads/article/FDI_round_tripping_ICL-DFS_pr_eng.pdf?v=12uc-s-0112-dr-04-22Reserves must be end-period stocks. As of end-July 2026, NBU international reserves were approximately **$51.2 billion**. The NBU July Inflation Report projects substantially higher reserves later under continued exceptional external suppor
https://bank.gov.ua/en/monetary/reportuc-s-0113-dr-04-23NBU is canonical for the monetary surveys, bank balance sheets, policy rate, interest rates and financial-soundness indicators. Its monetary statistics follow IMF monetary/financial-statistics concepts and cover operating banks plus the rel
https://bank.gov.ua/en/statistic/sector-financialuc-s-0114-dr-04-24The 2014–16 bank cleanup is a macro regime break because it changes the bank population, credit stock and risk recognition. NBU reform materials identify financial stability and institutional reform as central components of the post-2014 tr
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/natsionalniy-bank-zvituye-pro-dva-roki-reformuc-s-0115-dr-04-25NBU materials document the transition toward inflation targeting after 2015 and medium-term inflation targets; IMF evaluations describe the broader post-2014 stabilization as significant but incomplete. [\[42\]]( )
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/zvit-golovi-natsionalnogo-banku-valeriyi-gontarevoyi-u-verhovniy-radi-ukrayini-pered-zvilnennyamuc-s-0116-dr-04-26The forecast-vintage history itself is analytically informative. NBU moved from approximately 1.8% 2026 growth in February to 1.3% in May and back to 1.8% in July as the assumed energy, security, external-finance and harvest environment cha
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/inflyatsiya-bude-pomirnoyu-u-20262028-rokah-a-ekonomika-postupovo-zrostatime--inflyatsiyniy-zvituc-s-0125-dr-05-04Ukraine also developed a genuinely exportable knowledge-services cluster. NBU's revised 2025 balance of payments records **USD 15.819 billion of service exports and USD 23.728 billion of service imports**. Computer services generated **USD
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/utochneno-dani-platijnogo-balansu-za-20222025-rokiuc-s-0126-dr-05-05The transaction infrastructure has modernized rapidly. In 2024, NBU reports **8.185 billion cashless payment-card transactions worth UAH 4.244 trillion**, representing **94.6% of card transactions by number and 64.5% by value**. There were
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/bezgotivkovi-rozrahunki-u-2024-rotsi-suttyevo-perevajali-sered-operatsiy-z-platijnimi-kartkamiuc-s-0131-dr-05-10Computer services alone supplied 42.1% of 2025 service export receipts. A harmoniz
https://bank.gov.ua/en/statistic/sector-externaluc-s-0135-dr-05-14Knowledge services increasingly face skilled-labour availability; logistics face physical/war constraints; small firms face financing constraints; exact sector ranking is survey-depend
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/biznes-zberig-pozitivni-otsinki-rezultativ-svoyeyi-diyalnosti--pidsumki-opituvannya-pidpriyemstv-u-lipniuc-s-0143-dr-05-22NBU explicitly reported accelerated contactless/online payment adoption [\[35\]]( )
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/osnovni-trendi-kartkovogo-rinku-u-2020-rotsi-bezkontaktni-plateji-ta-rozrahunki-v-internetiuc-s-0156-dr-05-35NBU payment observations: \[57\]]( ). STS fiscalization observations: [\[58\].
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/tendentsiya-do-zrostannya-bezgotivkovih-platejiv-v-ukrayini-prodovjilasyauc-s-0161-dr-05-40\+1.8%, according to NBU citing detailed SSSU GDP release [\[67\]]( )
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/komentar-natsionalnogo-banku-schodo-zmini-realnogo-vvp-u-2025-rotsiuc-s-0168-dr-05-47cashless trend [\[77\]]( )
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/drugiy-rik-povnomasshtabnoyi-viyni-obsyagi-bezgotivkovih-rozrahunkiv-zrostayutuc-s-0169-dr-05-48historical payments [\[78\]]( )
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/tretina-bezgotivkovih-rozrahunkiv-platijnimi-kartkami-u-pos-terminalah-vidbuvayetsya-bezkontaktnouc-s-0187-dr-07-15Cashless card transactions rose strongly; by number they were 94.6% of card transactions in 2024\. This does not establish an equivalent fall in shadow output. [\[19\]]( )
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/bezgotivkovi-rozrahunki-u-2024-rotsi-suttyevo-perevajali-sered-operatsiy-z-platijnimi-kartkami?utm_source=chatgpt.comuc-s-0197-dr-07-25Currency-demand approaches require even greater caution in Ukraine. Cash can reflect informal transactions, but it can also reflect precautionary savings, distrust, crisis liquidity and currency substitution. NBU's 2026 external-sector revi
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/utochneno-dani-mijnarodnoyi-investitsiynoyi-pozitsiyi-za-20142025-roki?utm_source=chatgpt.comuc-s-0206-dr-07-34Card use has transformed sharply. NBU reported cashless card settlements at 39.3% in the relevant 2017 metric, while by 2024 **94.6% of card transactions by number were cashless**. These observations are not a perfectly homogeneous time ser
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/za-ostanni-pyat-rokiv-chastka-bezgotivkovih-rozrahunkiv-kartkami-v-ukrayini-zrosla-bilshe-nij-utrichi?utm_source=chatgpt.comuc-s-0216-u8-02https://bank.gov.ua/ua/news/all/operatsiyi-z-platijnimi-kartkami-u-2025-rotsi-bilshist--bezgotivkovi
https://bank.gov.ua/ua/news/all/operatsiyi-z-platijnimi-kartkami-u-2025-rotsi-bilshist--bezgotivkoviuc-s-0236-u4-02https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/komentar-natsionalnogo-banku-schodo-zmini-realnogo-vvp-u-2025-rotsi
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/komentar-natsionalnogo-banku-schodo-zmini-realnogo-vvp-u-2025-rotsiuc-s-0239-u4-15https://bank.gov.ua/en/monetary/archive-rish
https://bank.gov.ua/en/monetary/archive-rishuc-s-0240-u4-06https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/utochneno-dani-platijnogo-balansu-za-20222025-roki
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/utochneno-dani-platijnogo-balansu-za-20222025-rokiuc-s-0260-u7-06https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/inflyatsiya-bude-pomirnoyu-u-20262028-rokah-a-ekonomika-postupovo-zrostatime--inflyatsiyniy-zvit
https://bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/inflyatsiya-bude-pomirnoyu-u-20262028-rokah-a-ekonomika-postupovo-zrostatime--inflyatsiyniy-zvituc-s-0276-u2-01https://bank.gov.ua/ua/news/all/banki-naroschuyut-kredituvannya-shvidkimi-tempami-dva-roki-pospil-i-gotovi-do-podalshoyi-kreditnoyi-ekspansiyi--oglyad-bankivskogo-sektoru
https://bank.gov.ua/ua/news/all/banki-naroschuyut-kredituvannya-shvidkimi-tempami-dva-roki-pospil-i-gotovi-do-podalshoyi-kreditnoyi-ekspansiyi--oglyad-bankivskogo-sektoruuc-s-0277-u2-02https://bank.gov.ua/ua/news/all/zdiysneno-chergovi-kroki-dlya-naroschennya-kredituvannya-ta-vprovadjennya-v-ukrayini-norm-yes
https://bank.gov.ua/ua/news/all/zdiysneno-chergovi-kroki-dlya-naroschennya-kredituvannya-ta-vprovadjennya-v-ukrayini-norm-yesuc-s-0278-u2-04https://bank.gov.ua/ua/news/all/banki-zabezpechili-finansuvannya-energetichnih-proyektiv-na-366mlrdgrn
https://bank.gov.ua/ua/news/all/banki-zabezpechili-finansuvannya-energetichnih-proyektiv-na-366mlrdgrnuc-s-0279-u2-02https://bank.gov.ua/ua/news/all/u-2025-rotsi-kilkist-platejiv-cherez-sep-zrosla-mayje-na-chvert
https://bank.gov.ua/ua/news/all/u-2025-rotsi-kilkist-platejiv-cherez-sep-zrosla-mayje-na-chvertuc-s-0280-u2-02https://bank.gov.ua/ua/news/all/utochneno-dani-platijnogo-balansu-za-20222025-roki
https://bank.gov.ua/ua/news/all/utochneno-dani-platijnogo-balansu-za-20222025-roki